“There's no hiding from hotspots around the world and our judgment about what is the most likely or least likely of the geopolitical situation has changed.”
on justifying the rate hike without naming Trump's Iran war as the cause
“But once the economy turns away from you, and there are existing price pressures, such as rising energy prices, factors coming from the AI build-up, it’s no longer enough for you to just convey this insistence that price stability is important.”
“That this Fed chairman feels better about this board and this committee’s ability to deliver than I did when I showed up here on the first day, and I showed up pretty confident.”
on confidence in the new Fed chair's ability to manage the committee
“Market participants are learning to play the ball, not the referee — and market prices will continue to respond in the direction and magnitude they see fit,”
“Our credibility rests on performing our duties and delivering on our responsibilities. Americans are right to expect that because our nation’s prosperity depends on it.”
“This is not an excuse. This is a fact: This FOMC, this board has been in business for eight and a half weeks. ...The impatience that household and businesses feel has been going on for 63 months.”
“We are on the job. We will deliver. We are focused like a laser on making sure we can do it. But, the suggestion that we’re going to be able to do it with our magic wands is one I want to disabuse you and everyone else of.”
on Fed officials pushing back on expectations they can quickly fix rates
“We didn’t hide from them. We weren’t scared of them. There was a lot more interaction between my colleagues, it was a real family fight. My view, which you’ve long heard, is that’s the better way to get policy right.”
on internal Fed debate before the vote to hold interest rates steady
“Even so, new opportunities for the economy introduced new challenges for central bankers. We at the Fed are monitoring the implications for employment and for inflation.”
“Inflation is a choice. The members of our committee have no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation, and we share a resolute commitment to restore price stability,”
“At the Fed, we don’t yet know fully the extent to which the economy will benefit from AI. Yet it seems inevitable that what we’re now calling AI investment will soon just be called investment,”
on AI investment becoming inseparable from overall economic investment
“If there were a change in balance sheet policy, we would preview it, explain it, debate it, and no changes in balance sheet policy would happen without good advance notice to the likes of this committee and broadly, financial markets,”
“but the recent past need not be prologue. I am pleased to report that members of the FOMC are unambiguous and unanimous: This committee will deliver price stability.”
on Warsh's first Fed meeting as chair with rates held steady
“Recall, he’s been basically lambasting them for years and criticizing them in a way that I think would make it really difficult for him to lead this institution,”
on Trump's past criticism of the Fed complicating Kevin Warsh's leadership
“AI is perhaps the most significant change in our economy in my adult lifetime. AI will be a significant disinflationary force, increasing productivity and bolstering American competitiveness.”
“I believe that this is a long-term job creator, but will it be disruptive and will some people have their jobs at jeopardy because of the new technologies?”
“I would expect, before they come to their conclusions, they are going to hear from folks that will be affected. They are going to hear from employers that are getting struck with this technology shock and have disruption in their labor force,”
“What it’s changing is the method of innovation and the speed of innovation, and I can’t think of a country on earth as well positioned to take advantage of it,”